Monday, October 5, 2015

Dennis O’Hara Makes A Big Move, Sally Hinckley Extends Lead

 by Rusty Nash for HANA Harness

October 5, 2015 – The first of two annual stakes weeks at The Red Mile are now in the books for the 2015 HANA Harness Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge presented by the Bellino Stables, DRF Harness, Green Acquisition Corporation, Hambletonian Society, Isle of Capri Pompano Park, Meadowlands Racing and Entertainment, Northfield Park, Tioga Downs, and Vernon Downs.  Week one consisted of twenty one total divisions of the Bluegrass!  Add in two features from Dayton and we had a very busy week for the HANA handicappers.

Day one was Wednesday night and it was a short night of work with only two races on the card.  Three of our handicappers were a perfect two for two.  Sally Hinckley, Bob Zanakis and Derick Giwner correctly selected Broadway Donna and Celebrity Eventsy and maxed out with a nightly total of 32 HANA points.

The following evening had four heats on tap.  No one was perfect as Taco Tuesday upset everyone in the fifth race.  Rusty Nash was able to select the other three winners.  Milligan’s School won at $4.40, Lagerfield won at $4.60 and finally Dupree upset Bar Hopping at $9.40 for a total of 108 HANA points.  Toss in a second place finish to Taco Tuesday with Hollywood Highway and Rusty ended the evening with 112 HANA points and the temporary lead in the weekly battle.  In second was Jay Hochstetler who selected Milligan’s School and Dupree to earn 57 HANA points.  In third was Bob Zanakis who selected Lagerfield and Dupree for 51 HANA points. 

Friday night was very busy with six Bluegrass divisions at The Red Mile and the Trotting and Pacing Derby’s from Dayton.  Earning the top honors on the evening was the only handicapper who was able to select five winners.  That was Dennis O’Hara with 293 HANA points after his multiplier was calculated.  The prices were Racing Hill at $10 and American Passport at $9.  Garnet Barnsdale awoke from his recent slumber to land the place spot with 208 HAHA points.  He did this with just three winners, but most importantly, he was the only handicapper to land Il Songo Dream at Dayton for a huge $31!  Garnet’s closest American competitor, the voice of Buffalo Raceway, Michael Carter, took home the show honors for the evening with 185 HANA points.  His was the more conventional path with four winners.  Earning honorable mentions, all with four winners, were three of our perennial top players, Sally Hinckley, Anne Stepien and Gordon Waterstone.

The final night of week one of the The Red Mile’s annual two week Grand Circuit celebration was Saturday evening with nine HANA events.  With seven favorites winning it proved to be a very tight night of work right down to the very last race.  Four handicappers stood out on the evening by selecting six winners.  There was a tie for first place between Sally Hinckley and the surging Dennis O’Hara with 302 points.  The tandem submitted the exact same set of selections with six winners and two places.  In third was your humble scribe with six winners, two seconds and a third for 297 HANA points.  The difference was Divine Caroline paid a few dimes more across the board than Split The House.  Not to be outdone was Mark McKelvie with 293 points. The differential here was found in the place and show prices.

For the week, Dennis O’Hara continued his brush toward the top with 628 points on the week.  He was followed by (you know who!) Sally Hinckley with 542 points.  Rusty Nash was third with 464 points.  He was followed by Mark McKelvie and Gordon Waterstone with 446 and 400 points respectively.


With the first week of The Red Mile Grand Circuit tour in the books the top three handicappers continue to be Sally Hinckley, Mark McKelvie and Anne Stepien.  Dennis O’Hara steps up into the 4th position and Gordon Waterstone returns to the top five earning the final purse check.  Sally was able to extend her lead over everyone in the field with the exception of Dennis.  Well done!

Standings as of October 3, 2015 - Leg 47

Total Points
Points Earned
Overall
Position
Pos
Handicapper
Prior Week
This Week
Total Points
Last Week
Points Back
1st
Sally Hinckley
3,158.40
542.00
3,700.40
1st
2nd
Mark McKelvie
2,927.60
446.40
3,374.00
2nd
326.4
3rd
Anne Stepien
2,785.20
300.60
3,085.80
3rd
614.6
4th
Dennis O'Hara
2,264.20
628.70
2,892.90
7th
807.5
5th
Gordon Waterstone
2,393.00
400.40
2,793.40
6th
907.0
6th
Bob Zanakis
2,468.90
283.50
2,752.40
4th
948.0
7th
Earl Paulson
2,413.50
334.10
2,747.60
5th
952.8
8th
Rusty Nash
2,065.10
464.00
2,529.10
10th
1,171.3
9th
Bryan Owen
2,083.40
330.00
2,413.40
9th
1,287.0
10th
Josi Verlingieri
2,090.10
152.60
2,242.70
8th
1,457.7
11th
Michael Carter
1,896.60
326.50
2,223.10
11th
1,477.3
12th
Derick Giwner
1,823.10
275.60
2,098.70
12th
1,601.7
13th
Ray Garnett
1,778.50
203.10
1,981.60
13th
1,718.8
14th
Garnet Barnsdale
1,709.10
263.60
1,972.70
15th
1,727.7
15th
Jay Hochstetler
1,604.70
320.20
1,924.90
16th
1,775.5
16th
Mark Dezii
1,774.80
113.40
1,888.20
14th
1,812.2
17th
Ray Cotolo
1,342.20
164.40
1,506.60
17th
2,193.8
18th
Brandon Valvo
1,299.20
80.20
1,379.40
18th
2,321.0
19th
Mark Deutsch
910.70
113.10
1,023.80
19th
2,676.6



Next week we again return to The Red Mile for the completion of their Grand Circuit celebration.  We will have divisions of the International Stallion, the Tattersalls, the Glen Garnsey Memorial.  Then finals of the Kentucky Futurity, the Kentucky Filly Futurity, and the Allerage Farm TVG early closers for three year olds of both sexes and gaits.  To those four full days of racing we will also be visiting Yonkers Raceway where the International Trot has been resurrected after a very long hiatus.

Monday, September 28, 2015

Anne Stepien Earns HANA Jug Week Win, Closes Gap on Hinckley and McKelvie

by Rusty Nash for HANA Harness

September 28, 2015 – The Little Brown Jug Week results are now in for the 2015 HANA Harness Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge presented by the Bellino Stables, DRF Harness, Green Acquisition Corporation, Hambletonian Society, Isle of Capri Pompano Park, Meadowlands Racing and Entertainment, Northfield Park, Tioga Downs, and Vernon Downs.

The week kicked off with two days of great fair racing from Delaware Ohio.  Day one featured the Jugette and day two was the Little Brown Jug.

Ray Cotolo jumped out to the early lead selecting two winners on Wednesday.  He scored with Bettor N Better and Classical Anne for 87 HANA points.  Ray was the only handicapper to select two winners on a day where the front end was collapsing for most of the day.  Ray Garnett was a solid second when he landed Speak To Me for 43 HANA points.  The $29 win price was the best of the day.  Mark McKelvie earned third without a winner.  That is certainly a rarity but the 19 HANA points earned when Bedroomconfessions and Smexi both finished second stood up to be third best on the day.

On Little Brown Jug day we had four handicappers successfully select three winners.  Gordon Waterstone and Earl “Super Computer” Paulson each won with French Laundry, Lost For Words and Wiggle It Jiggleit.  They also ran second with Classic Martine to earn a top score of 76 HANA points.  Dennis O’Hara clicked with the same three winners.  Dennis had Rocking With Dewey in the fourth race to collect show money and earn 73 HANA points.  Coming off a strong performance last week, the voice of Buffalo Raceway Michael Carter was a very close fourth with the same three winners but missed in the final tie breaker race.  With eight races down and seven to go after a day off, Ray Cotolo had elbowed his way to the front in our weekly friendly competition.

After a needed day off all the handicappers reassembled to battle it out in six races from Hoosier plus the Milton from Mohawk.  Anne Stepien earned the win and the honors as the only one to select 4 winners.  There were two races on the evening where only two handicappers came up with the winner.  In both cases Anne was one of those two.  First was Anne’s selecting Sunset Glider to win the Kentucky Stallion Management 2 year old filly trot with Sunset Glider.  Anne followed that up with American Passport in The Elevation 2yoCG pace.  Anne’s four winners earned her 219 HANA points on the evening and propelled her to the nightly win by more than 100 points!

The top five handicappers were all able to hold onto their positions this week.  Sally Hinckley still has her two hundred plus point lead over Mark McKelvie.  Anne Stepien remains third but she is much closer now to both Mark and Sally.  Bob Zanakis and Earl Paulson were not put under any pressure this week and retained their fourth and fifth place positions.

Standings as of September 26, 2015 - Leg 43
Total Points Points Earned Overall Position
Pos Handicapper Prior Week This Week Total Points Last Week Points Back
1st Sally Hinckley 3,019.10 139.30 3,158.40 1st
2nd Mark McKelvie 2,796.20 131.40 2,927.60 2nd 230.8
3rd Anne Stepien 2,529.10 256.10 2,785.20 3rd 373.2
4th Bob Zanakis 2,418.10 50.80 2,468.90 4th 689.5
5th Earl Paulson 2,293.70 119.80 2,413.50 5th 744.9
6th Gordon Waterstone 2,285.20 107.80 2,393.00 6th 765.4
7th Dennis O'Hara  2,130.00 134.20 2,264.20 7th 894.2
8th Josi Verlingieri 1,975.50 114.60 2,090.10 10th 1,068.3
9th Bryan Owen 2,018.50 64.90 2,083.40 8th 1,075.0
10th Rusty Nash 1,997.40 67.70 2,065.10 9th 1,093.3
11th Michael Carter  1,818.10 78.50 1,896.60 11th 1,261.8
12th Derick Giwner 1,671.00 152.10 1,823.10 13th 1,335.3
13th Ray Garnett 1,678.30 100.20 1,778.50 12th 1,379.9
14th Mark Dezii 1,665.40 109.40 1,774.80 14th 1,383.6
15th Garnet Barnsdale 1,657.30 51.80 1,709.10 15th 1,449.3
16th Jay Hochstetler  1,542.40 62.30 1,604.70 16th 1,553.7
17th Ray Cotolo 1,207.50 134.70 1,342.20 18th 1,816.2
18th Brandon Valvo 1,261.20 38.00 1,299.20 17th 1,859.2
19th Mark Deutsch 819.20 91.50 910.70 19th 2,247.7


With Jug week over we turn to the anticipated final two weeks of action from The Red Mile.  Wednesday through Saturday will hold eight different sets of Bluegrass divisions.  In addition we will also be making a rare but enjoyable visit to Dayton Raceway for the Dayton Pacing Derby and the Dayton Trotting Derby. 

Thursday, September 24, 2015

HANA Handicappers go Under Saddle

Saturday night is the inaugural running of the $10,000 Harlequin Invitational at Mohawk Racetrack, it being contested as the second race on the evening card; part of the Ontario Sires Stakes Grassroots program which also features the Milton Stakes, part of the Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge.

Anyway, a number of the handicappers participating in the Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge have decided to make their selections for the first parimutuel racing under saddle event at Mohawk Racetrack even though it is not part of the contest.  In addition to win, place, and show wagering, exacta, trifecta, and superfecta wagering is also being offered.  The race also completes the early daily double as well as kicks-off the early Pick 3.

So here are their selections, in no particular order:

Garnet Barnsdale(7) WINE PHOTO gets the call in this Racing Under Saddle event based on his close second in a similar race on August 29th and his rider’s excellent record in these races this year. (4) A PENNY EARNED is one of the classier entrants and his rider has won 60% of her limited RUS starts this year. (3) HIDDEN IDENTITY was a good 2nd in a RUS race earlier this month and is another contender to consider.

Dennis O'Hara - (4) A PENNY EARNED

Josi Verlingieri - (4) A PENNY EARNED

Ray Garnett -  Exacta Box (3) HIDDEN IDENTITY - (5) SANTO DOMINGO - (7) WINE PHOTO.  Trifecta Box includes the same three horses plus adding (4) A PENNY EARNED.

Sally Hinckley - (4) A PENNY EARNED might be nice odds.  Also like a trifecta key with (1) COOL  CREEK VALLEY and (2) TWIN B EXCALIBUR under my top choice.

Earl Paulson - (4) A PENNY EARNED.  EXACTA BOX - Top choice with (5) SANTO DOMINGO.  TRIFECTA BOX - Add (6) FUNNY PHOTO.

Rusty Nash - If you can get 8-1 or more on (4) A PENNY EARNED, that is my play.  Otherwise I would go with an exacta box of (3) HIDDEN IDENTITY, (5) SANTO DOMINGO, and (7) WINE PHOTO.


Bryan OwenI like 7-3-10-2...7 Wine Photo, looks to have the best of the drivers and will win it with a good trip.  3 Hidden Identity will be a betting favorite, but I'm hoping the 7 will trip out.  The 10 is a sneaky play as I only really dislike the post, but I expect a lot of breakers to make the trip much easier.  Don't dismiss.  Finish out the super with 2 Twin B Excalibur, will be a big price, but don't expect him to break in a race that may see very few stay on stride

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

McKelvie Closing the Gap on Hinckley in Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge

September 21, 2015 – Mark McKelvie picked up some ground on Sally Hinckley this week in the 2015 HANA Harness Grand Circuit Handicapping Challenge presented by the Bellino Stables, DRF Harness, Green Acquisition Corporation, Hambletonian Society, Isle of Capri Pompano Park, Meadowlands Racing and Entertainment, Northfield Park, Tioga Downs, and Vernon Downs.

The week opened at The Meadows where the Nadia Lobell was won by Safe From Terror.  Mark Deutsch was able to select the winner and he took the daily honors with 22.8 points.  We needed the decimal point because Bryan Owen just missed with longshot The Show Returns.  The place and show prices returned 22.6 points.  One fifth of a point separated the early weekly leaders.  Divine Caroline finished third and that caused a four way dead heat for the show spot between Sally Hinckley, Anne Stepien, Derick Giwner and Ray Cotolo.

Saturday evening the HANA Grand Circuit Handicapping team visited Mohawk for another big night of racing.  On this evening we witnessed perfection!  There is a good reason that Mark McKelvie has been positioned near the top of the standing for so long.  He correctly selected all five winners!  Mark scored with Southwind Frank, Caprice Hill, Bee A Magician, Mission Brief and Pinkman.  The 5X multiplier earned Mark all 196 points that were available.

Three other handicappers had four winners each.  They each had a different combination of winners and earned different scores.  The place honors went to Buffalo’s own Michael “Horsy Boy” Carter with 122 points.  Bee A Magician was the key to his second place finish.  Josi Verlingieri took the show spot with 114 points and Earl Paulson was fourth with 109 points.

The final accent on this racing week was the Bobby Quillen Memorial at Harrington Raceway where Foiled Again was the featured headliner.  Mach It So edged by him at the top of the lane and while the old boy fought back with everything he had Mach It So held on for the short neck win.  Mach It So, off at 8-1, returned 25 HANA contest points for a quartet of very sharp handicappers.  Successfully beating the chalk were Ray Garnett, Jay Hochstetler, Earl Paulson and Anne Stepien.  The rest of the HANA handicappers were grateful that there was no bonus multiplier available with the $18 winner!

Mark McKelvie easily took the weekly honors with a total of 198 points.  Earl Paulson was second best with 135 and Michael Carter was third with 124.  Rounding out the super and the penta were Josi Verlingieri and Bryan Owen.

There was one change to the overall contest pentafecta.  With Mach It So winning the Quillen, Earl Paulson just edged out Gordon Waterstone for the fifth spot by a mere 8.5 points.  Sally Hinckley continues to lead with Mark McKelvie slowly closing the gap.  Ann Stepien remains in third and Bob Zanakis maintained his fourth place position.  Things are sure to change next week with more than a dozen races lined up.

Standings as of September 21, 2015 - Leg 41
Total Points
Points Earned
Overall
Position
Pos
Handicapper
Prior Week
This Week
Total Points
Last Week
Points Back
1st
Sally Hinckley
2,982.80
36.30
3,019.10
1st
2nd
Mark McKelvie
2,598.10
198.10
2,796.20
2nd
222.9
3rd
Anne Stepien
2,440.90
88.20
2,529.10
3rd
490.0
4th
Bob Zanakis
2,354.30
63.80
2,418.10
4th
601.0
5th
Earl Paulson
2,158.70
135.00
2,293.70
6th
725.4
6th
Gordon Waterstone
2,218.40
66.80
2,285.20
5th
733.9
7th
Dennis O'Hara
2,068.30
61.70
2,130.00
7th
889.1
8th
Bryan Owen
1,929.40
89.10
2,018.50
9th
1,000.6
9th
Rusty Nash
1,938.60
58.80
1,997.40
8th
1,021.7
10th
Josi Verlingieri
1,860.90
114.60
1,975.50
10th
1,043.6
11th
Michael Carter
1,693.20
124.90
1,818.10
11th
1,201.0
12th
Ray Garnett
1,644.90
33.40
1,678.30
13th
1,340.8
13th
Derick Giwner
1,604.00
67.00
1,671.00
14th
1,348.1
14th
Mark Dezii
1,597.60
67.80
1,665.40
15th
1,353.7
15th
Garnet Barnsdale
1,651.60
5.70
1,657.30
12th
1,361.8
16th
Jay Hochstetler
1,517.00
25.40
1,542.40
16th
1,476.7
17th
Brandon Valvo
1,234.80
26.40
1,261.20
17th
1,757.9
18th
Ray Cotolo
1,124.00
83.50
1,207.50
18th
1,811.6
19th
Mark Deutsch
751.80
67.40
819.20
19th
2,199.9



Jug week is upon us and we will have plenty of HANA Grand Circuit Handicapping action starting on Wednesday from Delaware Ohio.  The week kicks off with the Jugette, Buckette, Little Brown Jug, Old Oaken Bucket and the Miss Versatility.  Saturday features the Milton from Mohawk and a nice set of stakes from Hoosier Park.

For contest selections and further information, visit the contest website at http://hanaharnesscontest.blogspot.com.